Georgia: Finding 50 voters per precinct among midterm drop-off voters

{Original analysis below the fold}

Last year, leaked memos from Michelle Nunn's campaign estimated

we will need 1,378,001 votes to win. [snip] Democrats with strong campaigns have generally won 1.2 million votes.

We are aiming to enlarge the electorate by approximately 200,000 votes from drop-off and inactive voters.
[snip]
In addition to enlarging the electorate, we aim to persuade another 100 thousand white voters, reaching 30 percent white support, which our polling shows is feasible, while discouraging the kind of Republican surge we saw in 2010 so the total vote in the U.S. Senate race is approximately 2.7 million

Monday, during a campaign appearance in Georgia, Michelle Obama said:

“If just 50 Democratic voters per precinct who didn’t vote in 2010 get out and vote this November -- just 50 per precinct -- then Michelle Nunn and Jason Carter will win.”

Given 2,727 precincts in Georgia, the campaign is  talking about roughly 136,350 voters that didn't turnout in 2010. Our candidates seem to see a clear path to victory.

Below the jump ropes, I'll explore the pool of unreliable voters.